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Managed Futures, Positive Feedback Trading, and Futures Price Volatility

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  • Irwin, Scott
  • Yoshimaru, Sakoto

Abstract

The purpose of this study is to provide new evidence on the impact of managed futures trading on futures price volatility. A unique data set on managed futures trading is analyzed for the period December 1, 1998 through March 31, 1989. The data set includes the daily trading volume of large commodity pools for 36 different futures markets. Regression results are unequivocal with respect to the impact of commodity pool trading on futures price volatility. For the 72 estimated regressions (two for each market), the coefficient on commodity pool trading volume is significantly different from zero in only four cases. These results constitute strong evidence that, at least for this sample period, commodity pool trading is not associated with increases in futures price volatility.

Suggested Citation

Handle: RePEc:ags:nc8191:285702
DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.285702
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