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Statistical Foundations of Exponential Smoothing

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  • Snyder, Ralph D.

Abstract

In this paper the exponential smoothing methods of forecasting are rationalized in terms of a statistical state space model with only one primary source of randomness. Their link, in general terms, with the ARMA class of models ( both stationary and nonstationary cases) is also explored.

Suggested Citation

  • Snyder, Ralph D., "undated". "Statistical Foundations of Exponential Smoothing," Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 266862, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
  • Handle: RePEc:ags:monebs:266862
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.266862
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