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Prévision de la production agricole à partir des prix observés en début de la campagne de commercialisation

Author

Listed:
  • Steven Haggblade
  • Yenizié Koné
  • Abdramane Traoré et Pierre Traoré

Abstract

Points saillants -Les chocs climatiques font varier les récoltes céréalières, ainsi que les prix agricoles -Les prix saisonniers résument l’information accumulée des acteurs qui interviennent dans le marché et qui connaissent mieux la situation actuelle de l’offre nationale, notamment les producteurs et les commerçants. -L’Observatoire du Marché Agricole (OMA) fait la collecte hebdomadaire des prix sur 35 marchés agricoles au Mali. -Les prix observés en début de la campagne de commercialisation permettent de prédire la production nationale. -Le suivi des prix alimentaires reste une ressource précieuse pour les décideurs chargés d’assurer la sécurité alimentaire nationale. -Ce bulletin démontre comment utiliser un modèle économique de simulation pour estimer la récolte attendue à travers les prix en début de la campagne de commercialisation.

Suggested Citation

  • Steven Haggblade & Yenizié Koné & Abdramane Traoré et Pierre Traoré, 2019. "Prévision de la production agricole à partir des prix observés en début de la campagne de commercialisation," Feed the Future Innovation Lab for Food Security Policy Research Briefs 303615, Michigan State University, Department of Agricultural, Food, and Resource Economics, Feed the Future Innovation Lab for Food Security (FSP).
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:miffpb:303615
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.303615
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