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China's Accession to the WTO: What Is at Stake for Agricultural Markets?

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  • Fuller, Frank H.
  • Beghin, John C.
  • de Cara, Stephane
  • Fabiosa, Jacinto F.
  • Fang, Cheng
  • Matthey, Holger

Abstract

We analyze the impact of China's accession to the World Trade Organization on major crop and livestock markets using the FAPRI modeling framework. We incorporate expected changes in consumer income, textile production, and trade policies as exogenous shocks to the baseline model. Following accession, revenues decline in China's livestock, grain, and oilseed industries, while cotton production prospers despite increased cotton imports. Chinese consumers benefit from lower food prices, with vegetable oil, dairy, and meat consumption increasing significantly. Argentina, Brazil, Canada, the European Union, and the United States are the greatest beneficiaries from expanded agricultural trade with China.

Suggested Citation

  • Fuller, Frank H. & Beghin, John C. & de Cara, Stephane & Fabiosa, Jacinto F. & Fang, Cheng & Matthey, Holger, 2001. "China's Accession to the WTO: What Is at Stake for Agricultural Markets?," Hebrew University of Jerusalem Archive 18522, Hebrew University of Jerusalem.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:hebarc:18522
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.18522
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Wang, Qingbin & Fuller, Frank & Hayes, Dermot & Halbrendt, Catherine, 1998. "Chinese Consumer Demand for Animal Products and Implications for U.S. Pork and Poultry Exports," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 30(1), pages 127-140, July.
    2. Huang, Jikun & Chen, Chunlai, 1999. "Effects of Trade Liberalization on Agriculture in China: Institutional and Structural Aspects," Working Papers 32722, United Nations Centre for Alleviation of Poverty Through Secondary Crops' Development in Asia and the Pacific (CAPSA).
    3. Huang, Jikun & Chen, Chunlai, 1999. "Effects of Trade Liberalization on Agriculture in China: Commodity Aspects," Working Papers 32665, United Nations Centre for Alleviation of Poverty Through Secondary Crops' Development in Asia and the Pacific (CAPSA).
    4. ., 2000. "A Synthesis," Chapters, in: Trade, Jobs and Wages, chapter 11, Edward Elgar Publishing.
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