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Can smallholders double their productivity and incomes by 2030?

Author

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  • Mikecz, Orsolya
  • Vos, Rob

Abstract

This paper assesses past trends in agricultural land and labour productivity, as a test whether it is feasible to meet the SDG target 2.3, namely doubling productivity and incomes of smallholders within a 15-year time span, if history were to serve as a guide. The target implies agricultural productivity would need to increase by 4.6% per year on average during 2015-2030. Available country-level data on land productivity (1961-2012) and labour productivity (1980-2012) for 140 countries shows that past trends fall well short of the desired pace of productivity growth. No consistent long-term time series are available to assess productivity growth by size of land holding. As a proxy, we group the countries by the ratio of total agricultural land and number of workers in agriculture. We find that in countries with lower average farm size average productivity growth has been higher, but still falls short of the target pace.

Suggested Citation

  • Mikecz, Orsolya & Vos, Rob, 2016. "Can smallholders double their productivity and incomes by 2030?," ESA Working Papers 288967, Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, Agricultural Development Economics Division (ESA).
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:faoaes:288967
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.288967
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    Cited by:

    1. Rob Vos, 2018. "Agricultural and rural transformations in Asian development," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2018-87, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    2. Rob Vos, 2018. "Agricultural and rural transformations in Asian development," WIDER Working Paper Series 87, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    3. Villarroel-Molina Oriana & De-Pablos-Heredero Carmen & Barba Cecilio & Rangel Jaime & García Antón, 2021. "The Importance of Network Position in the Diffusion of Agricultural Innovations in Smallholders of Dual-Purpose Cattle in Mexico," Land, MDPI, vol. 10(4), pages 1-14, April.
    4. S. Mahendra Dev, 2018. "Tranformation of Indian agriculture: Growth, iclusiveness and sustainability," Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai Working Papers 2018-026, Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai, India.

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