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Increase in milk price volatility experienced by Flemish dairy farmers: A change in risk profile

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  • van Winsen, Frankwin
  • Wauters, Erwin
  • Lauwers, Ludwig H.
  • de Mey, Yann
  • Van Passel, Steven
  • Vancauteren, Mark

Abstract

This paper reports on the increased volatility in the milk price received by Flemish dairy farmers and its consequence on the risk profile of selected Flemish dairy farms. The volatility of the milk price has doubled since January 2007. It is suggested that this increasing volatility could have a significant impact on the risk profile of dairy farms. Indeed our results show that the risk profile is changing depending on the volatility and average price for milk. However this change is not very substantial compared to some other subsectors. Also we show that in our case study of selected farms that if the milk price volatility doubles an average milk price increase of about 12% compensates for the increased volatility on return on assets. Finally this paper demonstrated the importance of regarding risk and return together when making normative statements on the consequences of milk price volatility.

Suggested Citation

  • van Winsen, Frankwin & Wauters, Erwin & Lauwers, Ludwig H. & de Mey, Yann & Van Passel, Steven & Vancauteren, Mark, 2011. "Increase in milk price volatility experienced by Flemish dairy farmers: A change in risk profile," 2011 International Congress, August 30-September 2, 2011, Zurich, Switzerland 115758, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
  • Handle: RePEc:ags:eaae11:115758
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    File URL: http://purl.umn.edu/115758
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. James S. Dyer & Rakesh K. Sarin, 1982. "Relative Risk Aversion," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 28(8), pages 875-886, August.
    2. Jean-Paul Chavas & Kwansoo Kim, 2006. "An econometric analysis of the effects of market liberalization on price dynamics and price volatility," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 31(1), pages 65-82, March.
    3. Kahneman, Daniel & Tversky, Amos, 1979. "Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision under Risk," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 47(2), pages 263-291, March.
    4. Szvetlana Acs & Paul Berentsen & Ruud Huirne & Marcel van Asseldonk, 2009. "Effect of yield and price risk on conversion from conventional to organic farming ," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 53(3), pages 393-411, July.
    5. Joost M.E. Pennings & Philip Garcia, 2001. "Measuring Producers' Risk Preferences: A Global Risk-Attitude Construct," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 83(4), pages 993-1009.
    6. Stephen C. Gabriel & C. B. Baker, 1980. "Concepts of Business and Financial Risk," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 62(3), pages 560-564.
    7. Daniel A. Sumner, 2009. "Recent Commodity Price Movements in Historical Perspective," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 91(5), pages 1250-1256.
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    Keywords

    Demand and Price Analysis; Livestock Production/Industries;

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