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Does Pig Density Matter for the Choice of Control Strategies in Classical Swine Fever Epidemic?

Author

Listed:
  • Magen, M.-J.J.
  • Burrell, Alison M.
  • Nielen, Michel W.F.

Abstract

This paper examines the importance of pig population density in the area of an outbreak of CSF for the spread of the disease and the choice of control measures. A sector-level market and trade model and a spatial, stochastic, dynamic epidemiological simulation model for the Netherlands were used. Outbreaks in sparsely and densely populated areas were compared under four different control strategies and with two alternative trade assumptions. Results indicate that the control strategy required by current EU legislation is enough to eradicate an epidemic starting in an area with sparse pig population. By contrast, additional control measures are necessary if the outbreak begins in an area with high pig population density. The economic consequences of using preventive slaughter rather than emergency vaccination as an additional control measure depend strongly on the reactions of trading partners. Reducing the number of animal movements significantly reduces the size and length of epidemics in areas with high pig density.

Suggested Citation

  • Magen, M.-J.J. & Burrell, Alison M. & Nielen, Michel W.F., 2002. "Does Pig Density Matter for the Choice of Control Strategies in Classical Swine Fever Epidemic?," 2002 International Congress, August 28-31, 2002, Zaragoza, Spain 24920, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
  • Handle: RePEc:ags:eaae02:24920
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.24920
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    Cited by:

    1. Krämer, J. & Farwick, J., 2009. "Schäden in der Landwirtschaft durch Maul- und Klauenseuche: Simulationsrechnungen für ausgewählte Modellregionen," Proceedings “Schriften der Gesellschaft für Wirtschafts- und Sozialwissenschaften des Landbaues e.V.”, German Association of Agricultural Economists (GEWISOLA), vol. 44, March.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Livestock Production/Industries;

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