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Combining non-modelling and modelling approaches for the evaluation of RD policy: study of the impact of modulation as a policy instrument


  • Nowicki, Peter


Two separate, but interlinked methodological approaches – the modelling approach and non-modelling approach – have been used in a study commissioned by DG Agriculture and Rural Development to understand the impact of Modulation. In these two approaches a range of methodological and analytical tools are used, as follows: Non-modelling Approach • Literature Review; • Case Studies carried out in eight Member States; • Questionnaires carried out by telephone interviews in the 19 Member States, in which case studies were not conducted; • CMEF Indicators – collation of information on output, result and impact indicators for the case study Member States. Modelling Approach: • Budget model, tailor made for the project, provides much of the financial detail that is specific to the study; • A suite of economic models (LEITAP, ESIM, CAPRI and FES) to assess the economic and sectoral impacts; • Dyna-CLUE, a land-use model, allows the results from the economic models to be disaggregated spatially. Some of these tools offer projections, others, such as the case studies, provide insights that are context-specific, whilst others provide information on impacts that can be compared across the EU-27. Individually they do not provide a comprehensive picture of the full range of impacts arising from different modulation scenarios. However, the methodology has been developed in such a way so that the data generated from these different approaches is complimentary and may be triangulated. This means that the results from different methodological tools can be cross-checked and validated.

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  • Nowicki, Peter, 2010. "Combining non-modelling and modelling approaches for the evaluation of RD policy: study of the impact of modulation as a policy instrument," 118th Seminar, August 25-27, 2010, Ljubljana, Slovenia 94893, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
  • Handle: RePEc:ags:eaa118:94893

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    References listed on IDEAS

    1. Anne Margarian & David Blandford & Berkeley Hill, 2010. "A Theoretical Foundation of Rural Development Interventions and Evaluations is Needed," EuroChoices, The Agricultural Economics Society, vol. 9(2), pages 35-39, August.
    2. David Blandford & Richard N. Boisvert & Berkeley Hill, 2010. "Improving the Evaluation of Rural Development Policy," EuroChoices, The Agricultural Economics Society, vol. 9(1), pages 4-9, April.
    3. Jim Kinsella & Stephan J. Goetz & Mark D. Partridge & Steven C. Deller & David Fleming, 2010. "Evaluating RD Policies for Social and Human Capital Development," EuroChoices, The Agricultural Economics Society, vol. 9(1), pages 42-47, April.
    4. Midmore, Peter & Langstaff, Lesley & Lowman, Stephen & Vaughan, Alison, 2008. "Qualitative evaluation of European Rural Development Policy: Evidence from Comparative Case Studies," 2008 International Congress, August 26-29, 2008, Ghent, Belgium 44434, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
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    rural development policy evaluation; modelling; non-modelling; modulation; Community/Rural/Urban Development;

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