IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/ags/arpcbr/401174.html

Early Signals for Supplemental Crop Insurance Adoption Under Partial OBBBA Implementation

Author

Listed:
  • Tsiboe, Francis
  • Zhao, Hongxi

Abstract

This brief provides early evidence that supplemental crop insurance adoption may rise sharply in 2026 under partial OBBBA implementation. Because 2026 acreage reporting is incomplete, the analysis uses observed policy counts for commodities in counties with sales closing dates on or before April 15, 2026, combined with historical acres-per-policy ratios, to project insured acreage and adoption. The 2026 subsidy increase to 80 percent for both ECO and SCO appears to have strongly increased policy sales. ECO policies rose from about 231,000 in 2025 to 531,000 in 2026, while SCO policies rose from about 63,000 to 313,000. Applying historical acreage relationships suggests ECO adoption could reach 51.6 percent of eligible acres and SCO adoption 23.3 percent in 2026. Growth is projected to be strongest in major row-crop states and among crops such as corn, cotton, soybeans, and wheat. The estimates remain preliminary but signal a major expansion in supplemental coverage.

Suggested Citation

  • Tsiboe, Francis & Zhao, Hongxi, 2026. "Early Signals for Supplemental Crop Insurance Adoption Under Partial OBBBA Implementation," ARPC Brief 401174, North Dakota State University.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:arpcbr:401174
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.401174
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/401174/files/ARPC%20Brief%202026-12.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.22004/ag.econ.401174?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ags:arpcbr:401174. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: AgEcon Search (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.ndsu.edu/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.