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Risk-Efficient Production Plans Under Alternative Measures of Income Expectations

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  • Eskridge, K.M.
  • Curtis, Charles E.
  • Hassler, James B.

Abstract

Decision—making under uncertainty with income expectations conditioned on available information is contrasted with the standard risk modeling defini— tion of expectations as mean income. Two MOTAD models are specified, a traditional MOTAD and one employing an ARMA model to develop conditional expectations. The analysis indicates that income variability may be reduced by conditioning expectations on relevant information.

Suggested Citation

  • Eskridge, K.M. & Curtis, Charles E. & Hassler, James B., 1985. "Risk-Efficient Production Plans Under Alternative Measures of Income Expectations," 1985 Annual Meeting, August 4-7, Ames, Iowa 278548, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
  • Handle: RePEc:ags:aaea85:278548
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.278548
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Anderson, Jock R. & Dillon, John L. & Hardaker, Brian, 1977. "Agricultural Decision Analysis," Monographs: Applied Economics, AgEcon Search, number 288652, July.
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