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Cognitive Friction and Rooftop Solar Adoption: Evidence from a Latent Class WTA Model in Rural China

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  • Chao, Zenghui
  • Gu, Wenhao
  • Xu, Chenguang
  • Zhang, Jun

Abstract

This paper studies how cognitive friction shapes rural households’ willingness to lease rooftops for distributed solar photovoltaics. Using double-bounded WTA survey data from 311 households in Pingdingshan, Henan Province, we estimate a two-class latent class model that allows households to follow different information-processing rules. About 66.8 percent of households belong to a policy-familiar class that incorporates return confidence into project valuation. Their mean WTA is 31.03 yuan per square meter per year, compared with 57.38 yuan for the policy-unfamiliar class. Counterfactual simulations show that improving return confidence and policy familiarity can sharply raise participation and substitute for cash subsidies. Raising both to their highest levels increases zero-subsidy participation from 15.1 percent to 88.7 percent and generates substantial annual CO2 abatement.

Suggested Citation

  • Chao, Zenghui & Gu, Wenhao & Xu, Chenguang & Zhang, Jun, 2026. "Cognitive Friction and Rooftop Solar Adoption: Evidence from a Latent Class WTA Model in Rural China," 2026 Annual Meeting, July 26 - 28, 2026, Kansas City, Missouri 404857, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
  • Handle: RePEc:ags:aaea26:404857
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.404857
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