IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/ags/aaea26/404345.html

Bunching Around FSA's Guaranteed Farm Loan Program's Lending Limits

Author

Listed:
  • Mastrianni, Morgan
  • Atkinson, Sarah
  • Fiechter, Chad

Abstract

In 2024, the Farm Service Agency (FSA) helped generate $2.25 billion in agricultural credit through their Guaranteed Farm Loan Program (FLP)s. One key stipulation of the FSA Guaranteed FLPs is that banks cannot obtain a guarantee for loans issued over a certain principal amount. A share of all FSA Guaranteed Farm Ownership Loans have been issued at the maximum lending limit since 2012. This study uses FSA data on guaranteed loans issued by commercial and Farm Credit System (FCS) lending institutions. We show that the lending limit have heterogeneous impacts across loan, lender, and borrower types, regions, and years. These results help us understand how different producers would be affected by the The $3.5 million guaranteed lending limit proposed by the PACE Act (Reps. Finstad, Craig, Sens. Hoeven, Klobuchar Reintroduce Legislation Modernizing Loan Limits for Ag Producers, 2025). We show that an increase in the maximum lending limit would relieve much of the excess credit demanded from borrowers. However, we estimate that a smaller increase would also significantly reduce the credit constraints faced by borrowers who take out loans at the maximum lending limit. The FSA is a critical player in agricultural credit markets for beginning farmers and ranchers, and yet the effect of its Guaranteed Farm Loan Programs’ maximum loan limits on the supply of agricultural credit has not been previously researched. This study will inform FSA and United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) policymakers of the role that lending limits have on demand for guaranteed farm loans and highlight the potential for these programs to further expand access to credit for eligible borrowers.

Suggested Citation

  • Mastrianni, Morgan & Atkinson, Sarah & Fiechter, Chad, 2026. "Bunching Around FSA's Guaranteed Farm Loan Program's Lending Limits," 2026 Annual Meeting, July 26 - 28, 2026, Kansas City, Missouri 404345, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
  • Handle: RePEc:ags:aaea26:404345
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.404345
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/404345/files/177462_198604_115232_Mastrianni_FSA_Guaranteed_Loans_AAEAKC26.pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.22004/ag.econ.404345?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Denis Nadolnyak & Xuan Shen & Valentina Hartarska, 2017. "Farm income and output and lending by the farm credit system," Agricultural Finance Review, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 77(1), pages 125-136, May.
    2. Dodson, Charles B. & Ahrendsen, Bruce L., 2016. "Structural Change Implies Unique Role for Federal Credit," Choices: The Magazine of Food, Farm, and Resource Issues, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 31(01), pages 1-10, April.
    3. Omobolaji Omobitan & Aditya R. Khanal, 2022. "Examining Farm Financial Management: How Do Small US Farms Meet Their Agricultural Expenses?," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 15(3), pages 1-15, March.
    4. Charles Dodson, 2014. "Bank size, lending paradigms, and usage of Farm Service Agency's guaranteed loan programs," Agricultural Finance Review, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 74(1), pages 133-152, April.
    5. Giovanni Dell'Ariccia & Luc Laeven & Gustavo A. Suarez, 2017. "Bank Leverage and Monetary Policy's Risk-Taking Channel: Evidence from the United States," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 72(2), pages 613-654, April.
    6. Carletti, Elena & Leonello, Agnese & Marquez, Robert, 2023. "Loan guarantees, bank underwriting policies and financial fragility," Working Paper Series 2782, European Central Bank.
    7. Khanal, Aditya R. & Omobitan, Omobolaji, 2020. "Rural Finance, Capital Constrained Small Farms, and Financial Performance: Findings from a Primary Survey," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 52(2), pages 288-307, May.
    8. Helena Dominguez‐Torres & Luis A. Hierro, 2019. "The Regional Effects Of Monetary Policy: A Survey Of The Empirical Literature," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 33(2), pages 604-638, April.
    9. Henrik J. Kleven & Mazhar Waseem, 2013. "Using Notches to Uncover Optimization Frictions and Structural Elasticities: Theory and Evidence from Pakistan," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 128(2), pages 669-723.
    10. Anthony A. DeFusco & Andrew Paciorek, 2017. "The Interest Rate Elasticity of Mortgage Demand: Evidence from Bunching at the Conforming Loan Limit," American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, American Economic Association, vol. 9(1), pages 210-240, February.
    11. Charles Dodson, 2014. "Bank size, lending paradigms, and usage of Farm Service Agency's guaranteed loan programs," Agricultural Finance Review, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 74(1), pages 133-152, April.
    12. Charles A. Towe & Mitchell J. Morehart, 2009. "Credit Constraints: Their Existence, Determinants, and Implications for U.S. Farm and Nonfarm Sole Proprietorships," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 91(1), pages 275-289.
    13. Carletti, Elena & Leonello, Agnese & Marquez, Robert, 2023. "Loan guarantees, bank underwriting policies and financial stability," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 149(2), pages 260-295.
    14. Amemiya, Takeshi, 1984. "Tobit models: A survey," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 24(1-2), pages 3-61.
    15. Emmanuel Saez, 2010. "Do Taxpayers Bunch at Kink Points?," American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, American Economic Association, vol. 2(3), pages 180-212, August.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Iotti, Mattia, . "Financial evaluation and credit access of agricultural firms," Economia agro-alimentare / Food Economy, Italian Society of Agri-food Economics/Società Italiana di Economia Agro-Alimentare (SIEA), vol. 25(2).
    2. Ewens, Michael & Xiao, Kairong & Xu, Ting, 2020. "Regulatory Costs of Being Public: Evidence from Bunching Estimation," SocArXiv pdv8n, Center for Open Science.
    3. Mikhed, Vyacheslav & Raina, Sahil & Scholnick, Barry & Zhang, Man, 2024. "Debtor income manipulation in consumer credit contracts," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 157(C).
    4. Bachas, Natalie & Kim, Olivia S. & Yannelis, Constantine, 2021. "Loan guarantees and credit supply," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 139(3), pages 872-894.
    5. Michael Carlos Best & James S Cloyne & Ethan Ilzetzki & Henrik J Kleven, 2020. "Estimating the Elasticity of Intertemporal Substitution Using Mortgage Notches," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 87(2), pages 656-690.
    6. Justin Birru & Fernando Chague & Rodrigo De-Losso & Bruno Giovannetti, 2024. "Attention and Biases: Evidence from Tax-Inattentive Investors," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 70(10), pages 7101-7119, October.
    7. Slava Mikhed & Sahil Raina & Barry Scholnick & Man Zhang, 2022. "Debtor Fraud in Consumer Debt Renegotiation," Working Papers 22-35, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
    8. Bertanha, Marinho & McCallum, Andrew H. & Seegert, Nathan, 2023. "Better bunching, nicer notching," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 237(2).
    9. Hanson, Andrew, 2020. "Taxes and Borrower Behavior: Evidence from the Mortgage Interest Deductibility Limit," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 118(C).
    10. Francesca Caselli & Mr. Philippe Wingender, 2018. "Bunching at 3 Percent: The Maastricht Fiscal Criterion and Government Deficits," IMF Working Papers 2018/182, International Monetary Fund.
    11. Ma, Chao, 2020. "Per-customer quantity limit and price discrimination: Evidence from the U.S. residential mortgage market," International Journal of Industrial Organization, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    12. Mattia Iotti, 2023. "Financial evaluation and credit access of agricultural firms," Economia agro-alimentare, FrancoAngeli Editore, vol. 25(2), pages 31-67.
    13. Andrew Haughwout & Donald Morgan & Michael Neubauer & Maxim Pinkovskiy & Wilbert Van Der Klaauw, 2026. "Nonconforming Preferences: Jumbo Mortgage Lending and Large Bank Stress Tests," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 58(2), pages 471-495, March.
    14. Liang, Lantian & Zhang, Harold H. & Zhao, Feng & Zhao, Xiaofei, 2025. "Disclosure mandate, trust, and asset securitization," Journal of Financial Intermediation, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    15. Omobolaji Omobitan & Aditya R. Khanal, 2022. "Examining Farm Financial Management: How Do Small US Farms Meet Their Agricultural Expenses?," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 15(3), pages 1-15, March.
    16. Francesco Caloia, 2022. "Borrower-Based Measures, House Prices and Household Debt," Working Papers 738, DNB.
    17. Anthony A. DeFusco & Andrew Paciorek, 2017. "The Interest Rate Elasticity of Mortgage Demand: Evidence from Bunching at the Conforming Loan Limit," American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, American Economic Association, vol. 9(1), pages 210-240, February.
    18. Jing Xian Ng, 2025. "Recurring-Payment Sensitivity in Household Borrowing," Working Papers 25-22, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
    19. Homonoff, Tatiana & Spreen, Thomas Luke & St. Clair, Travis, 2020. "Balance sheet insolvency and contribution revenue in public charities," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 186(C).
    20. Vincent Dekker & Karsten Schweikert, 2021. "A Comparison of Different Data-driven Procedures to Determine the Bunching Window," Public Finance Review, , vol. 49(2), pages 262-293, March.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ags:aaea26:404345. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: AgEcon Search (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/aaeaaea.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.