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Trade Policies and Poverty in Uganda: A Computable General Equilibrium Micro Simulation Analysis

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  • Ayoki, Milton

Abstract

This paper examines the impact of trade liberalization on poverty in Uganda. Using a Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) framework and benchmark data from the 2002 household survey, three simulations are performed: removal of EAC tariffs, removal of non-EAC COMESA tariffs, and removal of all tariffs. Results indicate that poverty falls in all cases, but poverty falls much more in the case of a complete removal of tariffs on all imports (2.94%), compared with the case of removal of EAC tariffs (2.76%) or non-EAC COMESA tariffs (1.08%).

Suggested Citation

  • Ayoki, Milton, 2013. "Trade Policies and Poverty in Uganda: A Computable General Equilibrium Micro Simulation Analysis," Working Papers 6f14f2bd-dedb-4eb3-be0b-6, African Economic Research Consortium.
    • Handle: RePEc:aer:wpaper:6f14f2bd-dedb-4eb3-be0b-6c8d66f4cb31
    Note: African Economic Research Consortium
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    Cited by:

    1. is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Ayoki, Milton & Obwona, Marios, 2005. "Illicit Trade in East Africa: What Do We Really Know?," MPRA Paper 80128, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Dec 2009.
    3. Rodrigue Nobosse Tchoffo & Ibrahim Ngouhouo, 2020. "Cameroon’s Bilateral Economic Partnership Agreement: A Microsimulation Approach," Applied Economics and Finance, Redfame publishing, vol. 7(2), pages 67-84, March.
    4. Ayoki, Milton, 2017. "Estimating the Revenue Impacts of Tax Harmonisation," MPRA Paper 83548, University Library of Munich, Germany.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • C68 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Computable General Equilibrium Models
    • D78 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Positive Analysis of Policy Formulation and Implementation
    • F13 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Policy; International Trade Organizations
    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade
    • F15 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Economic Integration
    • F17 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Forecasting and Simulation

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