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Programas de Estabilización Anticipados

Author

Listed:
  • Valle Quintana Facundo Marcelo
  • Malament Miriam
  • Veleda Santiago
  • Ochoa Gonzalo Agustín
  • Arispe Samuel
  • Sambrana Gerónimo
  • Cordero Sebastián

Abstract

Analizamos cómo la anticipación de programas de estabilización económica, ya sea mediante Money Based Stabilization (MBS) o Exchange Rate Based Stabilization (ERBS), puede influir en la economía. Nuestros resultados arrojan luz sobre cómo los anuncios que se hacen con suficiente anticipación y de manera creíble pueden cambiar la forma en que los períodos de crecimiento y declive económico ocurren en comparación con lo que se ha estudiado previamente. De manera específica, notamos que después de anunciarse, el programa MBS da lugar a un período de expansión económica, mientras que el programa ERBS genera una recesión. Estos hallazgos resaltan la importancia de la previsión y la confiabilidad en la efectividad de las políticas económicas.

Suggested Citation

  • Valle Quintana Facundo Marcelo & Malament Miriam & Veleda Santiago & Ochoa Gonzalo Agustín & Arispe Samuel & Sambrana Gerónimo & Cordero Sebastián, 2023. "Programas de Estabilización Anticipados," Asociación Argentina de Economía Política: Working Papers 4697, Asociación Argentina de Economía Política.
    • Handle: RePEc:aep:anales:4697
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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E4 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates
    • E5 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit

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