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Impacto de choques transitorios y de largo plazo en el PIB e Inflación de Bolivia: Un modelo de vectores autorregresivos estructurales

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  • Ernesto Bernal Martínez

    (Docente e investigador del Instituto de Investigaciones Económicas de la F.C.E.F.A. de la U.T.O)

Abstract

Esta investigación tiene como objetivo estimar el impacto de los choques estructurales de corto y largo plazo en el Producto Interno Bruto (PIB) y en los precios en Bolivia. La metodología utilizada fue de vectores autorregresivos estructurales con datos del Instituto Nacional de Estadística. Los resultados muestran que los choques de oferta generan un impacto positivo de largo plazo sobre el PIB de la economía, y una caída en el nivel de precios; mientras que los choques de demanda sobre el PIB y los precios en Bolivia son negativos. Además se encuentra que las crisis política, subprime y de los commodities han tenido un impacto negativo sobre el crecimiento del PIB.

Suggested Citation

  • Ernesto Bernal Martínez, 2020. "Impacto de choques transitorios y de largo plazo en el PIB e Inflación de Bolivia: Un modelo de vectores autorregresivos estructurales," Development Research Working Paper Series 05/2020, Institute for Advanced Development Studies.
    • Handle: RePEc:adv:wpaper:202005
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    File URL: http://www.inesad.edu.bo/pdf/wp2020/wp05_2020.pdf
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Crecimiento; precios; vectores autorregresivos; choques transitorios; choques de largo plazo.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles

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