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Probabilidades de Admissão e Desligamento no Mercado de Trabalho Brasileiro

Author

Listed:
  • Douglas Uemura Nunes
  • Naercio Aquino Menezes Filho
  • Bruno Kawaoka Komatsu

Abstract

Este artigo avalia as probabilidades de admissão e desligamento no mercado de trabalho brasileiro, e mensura sua contribuição para a variabilidade cíclica da taxa de desemprego no país. Para isso, é utilizada uma metodologia recente, que permite a obtenção das probabilidades através dos estoques de empregados e desempregos corrigindo o viés de agregação de tempo. Verificamos que, para o período de 1983 a 2001, as oscilações da taxa de admissão foram responsáveis por 75% da variabilidade da taxa de desemprego nas principais regiões metropolitanas do Brasil. Entre 2004 e 2013 a taxa de admissão explica 80% dessas variações.

Suggested Citation

  • Douglas Uemura Nunes & Naercio Aquino Menezes Filho & Bruno Kawaoka Komatsu, 2015. "Probabilidades de Admissão e Desligamento no Mercado de Trabalho Brasileiro," Business and Economics Working Papers 215, Unidade de Negocios e Economia, Insper.
    • Handle: RePEc:aap:wpaper:215
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