Report NEP-FOR-2020-12-07

This is the archive for NEP-FOR, a report on new working papers in the area of Forecasting. Rob J Hyndman issued this report. It is usually issued weekly.

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Other reports in NEP-FOR

The following items were announced in this report:

• Hagenhoff, Tim & Lustenhouwer, Joep, 2020. "The role of stickiness, extrapolation and past consensus forecasts in macroeconomic expectations," BERG Working Paper Series 163, Bamberg University, Bamberg Economic Research Group.
• Na Guo & Bo Zhang & Jamie Cross, 2020. "Time-varying trend models for forecasting inflation in Australia," CAMA Working Papers 2020-99, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
• Afees A. Salisu & Juncal Cunado & Rangan Gupta, 2020. "Geopolitical Risks and Historical Exchange Rate Volatility of the BRICS," Working Papers 2020105, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
• Nuno Goncalves & Domingos Seward, 2019. "Forecasting unemployment in Portugal: A labour market flows approach," CFP Working Papers 01/2019, Portuguese Public Finance Council.
• Lake, A., 2020. "Optimal Feasible Expectations in Economics and Finance," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 20105, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
• Cameron Roach & Rob J Hyndman & Souhaib Ben Taieb, 2020. "Nonlinear Mixed Effects Models for Time Series Forecasting of Smart Meter Demand," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 41/20, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
• Megaritis, Anastasios & Vlastakis, Nikolaos & Triantafyllou, Athanasios, 2020. "Stock market volatility and jumps in times of uncertainty," Essex Finance Centre Working Papers 29200, University of Essex, Essex Business School.
• David Kohns & Arnab Bhattacharjee, 2019. "Interpreting Big Data in the Macro Economy: A Bayesian Mixed Frequency Estimator," CEERP Working Paper Series 010, Centre for Energy Economics Research and Policy, Heriot-Watt University.
• Alexey Averkin & Sergey Yarushev, 2020. "Deep Neural Networks and Neuro-Fuzzy Networks for Intellectual Analysis of Economic Systems," Papers 2011.05588, arXiv.org.
• Hamidreza Arian & Hossein Poorvasei & Azin Sharifi & Shiva Zamani, 2020. "The Uncertain Shape of Grey Swans: Extreme Value Theory with Uncertain Threshold," Papers 2011.06693, arXiv.org.
• Yuanhua Feng & Jan Beran & Sebastian Letmathe & Sucharita Ghosh, 2020. "Fractionally integrated Log-GARCH with application to value at risk and expected shortfall," Working Papers CIE 137, Paderborn University, CIE Center for International Economics.
• Jong, Meng-Chang, 2020. "Empirical Review on Tourism Demand and COVID-19," MPRA Paper 103919, University Library of Munich, Germany.