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The Impact of Exports on GDP: Evidence from the Middle Eastern and BRICS Countries

In: The Sustainable Development of the Entrepreneurial Economy in the Fifth Industrial Revolution

Author

Listed:
  • Ahmad S. Al Humssi
  • Larisa N. Sorokina
  • Vladimir Z. Chaplyuk
  • Milana M.-S. Abueva

Abstract

This chapter describes a study of the causal relationship between the volume of exports and the GDP in the Middle Eastern (ME) and BRICS countries in 2000–2022. The research is based on stationarity tests using the ADF test, cointegration using the Johannes methodology, and the homogeneity test according to the ARCH. The results of this research show that in countries such as Iran, Iraq, Jordan, Kuwait, Lebanon, Qatar, Russia, and Yemen, there is a causal relationship between exports and GDP in both the short and long terms. In other words, an increase in export volume leads to a rise in GDP over both timeframes. However, in countries such as Saudi Arabia, South Africa, Bahrain, India, Oman, Brazil, China, Egypt, and Turkey, this relationship is observed only in the short term. Here, an increase in export volume stimulates GDP growth only in the short term. This research also finds no cumulative correlation between exports and GDP in countries such as Syria.

Suggested Citation

  • Ahmad S. Al Humssi & Larisa N. Sorokina & Vladimir Z. Chaplyuk & Milana M.-S. Abueva, 2026. "The Impact of Exports on GDP: Evidence from the Middle Eastern and BRICS Countries," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Elena Popkova & Gulnora Abdurakhmanova (ed.), The Sustainable Development of the Entrepreneurial Economy in the Fifth Industrial Revolution, chapter 16, pages 183-194, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    • Handle: RePEc:wsi:wschap:9789819802920_0016
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    JEL classification:

    • Q01 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - General - - - Sustainable Development
    • L26 - Industrial Organization - - Firm Objectives, Organization, and Behavior - - - Entrepreneurship
    • O33 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Innovation; Research and Development; Technological Change; Intellectual Property Rights - - - Technological Change: Choices and Consequences; Diffusion Processes

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