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Tracking VIX with VIX Futures: Portfolio Construction and Performance

In: HANDBOOK OF APPLIED INVESTMENT RESEARCH

Author

Listed:
  • Tim Leung
  • Brian Ward

Abstract

We study a series of static and dynamic portfolios of Volatility Index (VIX) futures and their effectiveness to track the VIX. We derive each portfolio using optimization methods, and evaluate its tracking performance from both empirical and theoretical perspectives. Among our results, we show that static portfolios of different VIX futures fail to track VIX closely. VIX futures simply do not react quickly enough to movements in the spot VIX. In a discrete-time model, we design and implement a dynamic trading strategy that adjusts daily to optimally track VIX. The model is calibrated to historical data and a simulation study is performed to understand the properties exhibited by the strategy. In addition, compared to the volatility ETN, VXX, we find that our dynamic strategy has a superior tracking performance.

Suggested Citation

  • Tim Leung & Brian Ward, 2020. "Tracking VIX with VIX Futures: Portfolio Construction and Performance," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: John B Guerard & William T Ziemba (ed.), HANDBOOK OF APPLIED INVESTMENT RESEARCH, chapter 21, pages 557-596, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    • Handle: RePEc:wsi:wschap:9789811222634_0021
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    Cited by:

    1. Chen & Jo-Hui & Hussain & Sabbor & Chen & Fu-Ying, 2023. "The Relationship between VIX and Technical Indicator: The Analysis of Shared-Frailty Model," Journal of Applied Finance & Banking, SCIENPRESS Ltd, vol. 13(3), pages 1-5.
    2. Ali Hirsa & Joerg Osterrieder & Branka Hadji Misheva & Wenxin Cao & Yiwen Fu & Hanze Sun & Kin Wai Wong, 2021. "The VIX index under scrutiny of machine learning techniques and neural networks," Papers 2102.02119, arXiv.org.

    More about this item

    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G17 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Financial Forecasting and Simulation
    • G1 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets

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