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Probability of Majority Inversion with Three States and Interval Preferences

In: Advances in Collective Decision Making

Author

Listed:
  • Serguei Kaniovski

    (Austrian Institute of Economic Research (WIFO))

  • Alexander Zaigraev

    (Nicolaus Copernicus University)

Abstract

We examine the probability of majority inversion in a two-stage electoral process with three states. We extend May’s model to state-specific general interval preferences and population weights and examine the effects of variation in population weights, and the effects of variance and bias in preferences on the inversion probability. This numerical sensitivity analysis for inversion probability is conducted using an exact formula under general interval preferences in the three states with different population weights.

Suggested Citation

  • Serguei Kaniovski & Alexander Zaigraev, 2023. "Probability of Majority Inversion with Three States and Interval Preferences," Studies in Choice and Welfare, in: Sascha Kurz & Nicola Maaser & Alexander Mayer (ed.), Advances in Collective Decision Making, pages 43-68, Springer.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:stcchp:978-3-031-21696-1_4
    DOI: 10.1007/978-3-031-21696-1_4
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