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Short-Term Reliability Analysis of Power Plants with Several Combined Cycle Units

In: Recent Advances in Multi-state Systems Reliability

Author

Listed:
  • Anatoly Lisnianski

    (The Israel Electric Corporation)

  • David Laredo

    (The Israel Electric Corporation)

  • Hanoch Ben Haim

    (The Israel Electric Corporation)

Abstract

This chapter presents a method for a short-term reliability analysis of power plants consisting of a number combined cycle generating units. A multi-state Markov model represents each generating unit with several states. Using a straightforward Markov method for reliability assessment is leading to explosion of number of states that should be analyzed. The chapter proposes a method for the estimation of important power system indices such as the availability for specified demand level, the loss of load probability, the expected energy not supplied to consumers etc. This method is based on Lz-transform of discrete-state continuous-time Markov process. The proposed approach is useful for a short-term reliability analysis of power system and operative decisions making. A numerical example is presented as an illustration of the proposed approach.

Suggested Citation

  • Anatoly Lisnianski & David Laredo & Hanoch Ben Haim, 2018. "Short-Term Reliability Analysis of Power Plants with Several Combined Cycle Units," Springer Series in Reliability Engineering, in: Anatoly Lisnianski & Ilia Frenkel & Alex Karagrigoriou (ed.), Recent Advances in Multi-state Systems Reliability, pages 285-299, Springer.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:ssrchp:978-3-319-63423-4_15
    DOI: 10.1007/978-3-319-63423-4_15
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