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Population Ageing, Population Decline and Replacement Migration in Europe

In: International Migration and the Future of Populations and Labour in Europe

Author

Listed:
  • Jakub Bijak

    (University of Southampton, Division of Social Statistics and Demography, ESRC Centre for Population Change and the Southampton Statistical Sciences Research Institute)

  • Dorota Kupiszewska

    (IOM, Central European Forum for Migration and Population Research)

  • Marek Kupiszewski

    (Institute of Geography and Spatial Organization of the Polish Academy of Sciences)

  • Katarzyna Saczuk

    (Institute of Geography and Spatial Organization of the Polish Academy of Sciences, Central European Forum for Migration and Population Research
    National Bank of Poland, Economic Institute
    Warsaw School of Economics)

Abstract

This chapter looks predominantly at the possible role migration might play in containing ageing of European populations. We present selected results of simulations of migration flows from outside the system of 27 countries which would be hypothetically needed to maintain the sizes and structures of the populations under study. Various simulations are subsequently compared from the point of view of their plausibility and the impact of different assumptions on counteracting the negative economic effects of population ageing. The outcome of the analysis is compared with the outcomes of similar studies. The simulations we conducted show clearly that the long-term consequences of demographic change should be treated with due attention by social policy makers and politicians. The changes in social policies, aiming at increasing labour force participation and reconciling it with support for childbearing, as well as reforms of pension systems, are at the core of the strategies to adapt social and economic systems to the new and unavoidable demographic patterns.

Suggested Citation

  • Jakub Bijak & Dorota Kupiszewska & Marek Kupiszewski & Katarzyna Saczuk, 2013. "Population Ageing, Population Decline and Replacement Migration in Europe," The Springer Series on Demographic Methods and Population Analysis, in: Marek Kupiszewski (ed.), International Migration and the Future of Populations and Labour in Europe, edition 127, chapter 0, pages 243-265, Springer.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:ssdmcp:978-90-481-8948-9_14
    DOI: 10.1007/978-90-481-8948-9_14
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