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The Future of European Populations and the European Labour Force, 2002–2052

In: International Migration and the Future of Populations and Labour in Europe

Author

Listed:
  • Jakub Bijak

    (University of Southampton, Division of Social Statistics and Demography, ESRC Centre for Population Change and the Southampton Statistical Sciences Research Institute)

  • Dorota Kupiszewska

    (IOM, Central European Forum for Migration and Population Research)

  • Marek Kupiszewski

    (Institute of Geography and Spatial Organization of the Polish Academy of Sciences)

  • Katarzyna Saczuk

    (IOM, Central European Forum for Migration and Population Research
    National Bank of Poland, Economic Institute
    Warsaw School of Economics)

Abstract

In this chapter, population and labour force projections for 27 selected European countries for 2002–2052 are presented, focusing on the impact of international migration on population and labour force dynamics. Starting from single scenarios for fertility, mortality and economic activity, we explore three sets of assumptions regarding migration flows, taking into account probable policy developments in Europe following the enlargement of the EU. In addition to age structures, various support ratio indicators are analysed. The results indicate that plausible immigration cannot offset the negative effects of population and labour force ageing.

Suggested Citation

  • Jakub Bijak & Dorota Kupiszewska & Marek Kupiszewski & Katarzyna Saczuk, 2013. "The Future of European Populations and the European Labour Force, 2002–2052," The Springer Series on Demographic Methods and Population Analysis, in: Marek Kupiszewski (ed.), International Migration and the Future of Populations and Labour in Europe, edition 127, chapter 0, pages 207-230, Springer.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:ssdmcp:978-90-481-8948-9_12
    DOI: 10.1007/978-90-481-8948-9_12
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