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Household Housing Demand Projections for Hebei Province of China

In: Household and Living Arrangement Projections

Author

Listed:
  • Yi Zeng

    (Duke University, Center for Study of Aging and Human Development Medical School
    Peking University, National School of Development Center for Healthy Aging and Development Studies)

  • Kenneth C. Land

    (Duke University, Department of Sociology and Center for Population Health and Aging Population Research Institute)

  • Danan Gu

    (United Nations, Population Division)

  • Zhenglian Wang

    (Duke University, Center for Population Health and Aging Population Research Institute
    Household and Consumption Forecasting, Inc.)

Abstract

Chapter 15 presented households and housing demand projections in rural and urban areas of Hebei, a province with 72 million residents and a median level of socioeconomic development in China, using the most recent census and other data and the ProFamy extended cohort-component model. The results showed that, due to changes in household and population structure, demand for both owned housing and rental housing for elders aged 65+ will grow dramatically, but housing demand will decline for young people aged less than 35. One-person households will have the largest growth in demand for 1–2 room owned-housing; one-couple households will have the largest growth in demand for 3–4 room owned-housing. Demand for larger housing units for three-generation households will go down. Based on our analysis, we discussed some relevant policy considerations such as “dual-apartment” housing for elderly parents neighboring directly with their children, which may result in a win-win outcome for both generations in facing the serious challenges of population and household aging.

Suggested Citation

  • Yi Zeng & Kenneth C. Land & Danan Gu & Zhenglian Wang, 2014. "Household Housing Demand Projections for Hebei Province of China," The Springer Series on Demographic Methods and Population Analysis, in: Household and Living Arrangement Projections, edition 127, chapter 0, pages 263-279, Springer.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:ssdmcp:978-90-481-8906-9_15
    DOI: 10.1007/978-90-481-8906-9_15
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