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Introduction

In: Developments in Demographic Forecasting

Author

Listed:
  • Nico Keilman

    (University of Oslo, Department of Economics)

  • Stefano Mazzuco

    (University of Padova, Department of Statistical Sciences)

Abstract

Future trends in population size, age structure, regional distribution, and other demographic variables are important for a wide range of planning situations. Hence, many statistical agencies and independent researchers compute demographic forecasts at various levels of detail. The primary aim of this book is to sketch new developments in the field of demographic forecasting. This chapter addresses various issues taken up by the authors of this volume. We discuss deterministic and probabilistic approaches to forecast uncertainty, Bayesian and frequentist perspectives, the role of experts compared to purely data driven methods, and ways to communicate forecast results to the users.

Suggested Citation

  • Nico Keilman & Stefano Mazzuco, 2020. "Introduction," The Springer Series on Demographic Methods and Population Analysis, in: Stefano Mazzuco & Nico Keilman (ed.), Developments in Demographic Forecasting, chapter 0, pages 1-20, Springer.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:ssdmcp:978-3-030-42472-5_1
    DOI: 10.1007/978-3-030-42472-5_1
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