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Regime Specific Spillover Across Cryptocurrencies and the Role of COVID-19

In: Blockchain, Crypto Assets, and Financial Innovation

Author

Listed:
  • Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad

    (MBS School of Business)

  • Elie Bouri

    (Lebanese American University)

  • Sang Hoon Kang

    (Pusan National University)

  • Tareq Saeed

    (King Abdulaziz University)

Abstract

The aim of this study is to examine the daily return spillover among 18 cryptocurrencies under low and high volatility regimes, while considering three pricing factors and the effect of the COVID-19 outbreak. To do so, we apply a Markov regime-switching (MS) vector autoregressive with exogenous variables (VARX) model to a daily dataset from 25-July-2016 to 1-April-2020. The results indicate various patterns of spillover in high and low volatility regimes, especially during the COVID-19 outbreak. The total spillover index varies with time and abruptly intensifies following the outbreak of COVID-19, especially in the high volatility regime. Notably, the network analysis reveals further evidence of much higher spillovers in the high volatility regime during the COVID-19 outbreak, which is consistent with the notion of contagion during stress periods.

Suggested Citation

  • Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad & Elie Bouri & Sang Hoon Kang & Tareq Saeed, 2025. "Regime Specific Spillover Across Cryptocurrencies and the Role of COVID-19," Springer Books, in: Gang Kou & Yongqiang Li & Zongyi Zhang & J. Leon Zhao & Zhi Zhuo (ed.), Blockchain, Crypto Assets, and Financial Innovation, pages 295-325, Springer.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:sprchp:978-981-96-6839-7_11
    DOI: 10.1007/978-981-96-6839-7_11
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