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What Does Matter the Climate Change Risk on Agriculture Adaptation: Evidence From Southern Mediterranean Country

In: Crises and Uncertainty in the Economy

Author

Listed:
  • Abderrazek BEN MAATOUG

    (University of Tunis
    University of Tunis)

  • Mohamed Bilel TRIKI

    (University of Tunis
    University of Bisha)

  • Donia ALOUI

    (University of Tunis Carthage)

Abstract

In this study, we examine how climate change may affect the incomes of farmers in a southern Mediterranean country, and we propose crop insurance as a potential means for adapting to climate change. Using cointegration in panel data for Tunisian regions, we highlight the significant likely effects of climate change on crops yields based on two scenarios from the Representative Concentration Pathways, namely RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5. In the long term (i.e., by 2050 and 2100), we expect there will be a general increase in temperature and an overall reduction in rainfall, leading to an increase in crop losses for all regions of Tunisia under both scenarios. We therefore recommend that farmers look to insure their crop production against the risks of drought and floods, because we feel this may be an attractive device for mitigating any potential loss of income caused by such events. Indeed, crop insurance appears to present an effective means for adapting to climate change.

Suggested Citation

  • Abderrazek BEN MAATOUG & Mohamed Bilel TRIKI & Donia ALOUI, 2022. "What Does Matter the Climate Change Risk on Agriculture Adaptation: Evidence From Southern Mediterranean Country," Springer Books, in: Hachmi BEN AMEUR & Zied FTITI & Wael LOUHICHI & Jean-Luc PRIGENT (ed.), Crises and Uncertainty in the Economy, chapter 0, pages 217-235, Springer.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:sprchp:978-981-19-3296-0_13
    DOI: 10.1007/978-981-19-3296-0_13
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