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Conservative Estimation of Default Rate Correlations

In: Practical Fruits of Econophysics

Author

Listed:
  • Bernd Rosenow

    (Universität zu Köln)

  • Rafael Weißbach

    (Universität Dortmund)

Abstract

Summary The risk of a credit portfolio depends crucially on correlations between the probability of default (PD) in different economic sectors. We present statistical evidence that a (one-) factorial model is sufficient to describe PD correlations, and suggest a method of parameter estimation which avoids in a controlled way the underestimation of correlation risk.

Suggested Citation

  • Bernd Rosenow & Rafael Weißbach, 2006. "Conservative Estimation of Default Rate Correlations," Springer Books, in: Hideki Takayasu (ed.), Practical Fruits of Econophysics, pages 272-276, Springer.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:sprchp:978-4-431-28915-9_49
    DOI: 10.1007/4-431-28915-1_49
    as

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