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Mathematische Demographie und Epidemiologie

In: Mathematik in der Praxis

Author

Listed:
  • Karl-Peter Hadeler

    (Universität Tübingen, Biologisches Institut und Mathematische Fakultät)

  • Hans Heesterbeek

    (Agricultural Mathematics Group (GLW-DLO))

Abstract

Zusammenfassung Die Demographie als Bevölkerungswissenschaft beschäftigt sich mit den Regeln, nach denen sich menschliche Populationen entwickeln, mit ihrem Altersaufbau, der Zahl der Geburten und Todesfälle und sozialen Charakteristika. Im Vordergrund steht dabei nicht so sehr das Schicksal des Individuums als die Erklärung vergangener Entwicklungen und die Prognose. Die Prognose kann nur unter der Prämisse rebus sic stantibus erfolgen. Die Erfahrung zeigt, daß nicht nur Emigration und Immigration, sondern auch relativ geringe politische oder ökonomische Schwankungen etwa das Reproduktionsverhalten entscheidend beeinflussen können.

Suggested Citation

  • Karl-Peter Hadeler & Hans Heesterbeek, 1995. "Mathematische Demographie und Epidemiologie," Springer Books, in: Achim Bachem & Michael Jünger & Rainer Schrader (ed.), Mathematik in der Praxis, pages 333-360, Springer.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:sprchp:978-3-642-79763-7_17
    DOI: 10.1007/978-3-642-79763-7_17
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