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Technical Analysis Techniques versus Mathematical Models: Boundaries of Their Validity Domains

In: Monte Carlo and Quasi-Monte Carlo Methods 2004

Author

Listed:
  • Christophette Blanchet-Scalliet

    (université Nice Sophia-Antipolis, Laboratoire Dieudonné)

  • Awa Diop

    (INRIA, Projet OMEGA)

  • Rajna Gibson

    (University of Zürich, NCCR FINRISK, Swiss Banking Institute)

  • Denis Talay

    (INRIA, Projet OMEGA)

  • Etienne Tanré

    (INRIA, Projet OMEGA)

Abstract

We aim to compare financial technical analysis techniques to strategies which depend on a mathematical model. In this paper, we consider the moving average indicator and an investor using a risky asset whose instantaneous rate of return changes at an unknown random time. We construct mathematical strategies. We compare their performances to technical analysis techniques when the model is misspecified. The comparisons are based on Monte Carlo simulations.

Suggested Citation

  • Christophette Blanchet-Scalliet & Awa Diop & Rajna Gibson & Denis Talay & Etienne Tanré, 2006. "Technical Analysis Techniques versus Mathematical Models: Boundaries of Their Validity Domains," Springer Books, in: Harald Niederreiter & Denis Talay (ed.), Monte Carlo and Quasi-Monte Carlo Methods 2004, pages 15-30, Springer.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:sprchp:978-3-540-31186-7_2
    DOI: 10.1007/3-540-31186-6_2
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