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Assessing the Efficiency of Movement Restriction as a Control Strategy of Ebola

In: Mathematical and Statistical Modeling for Emerging and Re-emerging Infectious Diseases

Author

Listed:
  • Baltazar Espinoza

    (Arizona State University, Simon A. Levin Mathematical, Computational and Modeling Science Center)

  • Victor Moreno

    (Arizona State University, Simon A. Levin Mathematical, Computational and Modeling Science Center)

  • Derdei Bichara

    (Arizona State University, Simon A. Levin Mathematical, Computational and Modeling Science Center)

  • Carlos Castillo-Chavez

    (Arizona State University, Simon A. Levin Mathematical, Computational and Modeling Science Center)

Abstract

We formulate a two-patch mathematical model for Ebola Virus Disease dynamics in order to evaluate the effectiveness of travel restriction (cordons sanitaires), mandatory movement restrictions between communities while exploring their role on disease dynamics and final epidemic size. Simulations show that strict restrictions in movement between high and low risk areas of closely linked communities may have a deleterious impact on the overall levels of infection in the total population.

Suggested Citation

  • Baltazar Espinoza & Victor Moreno & Derdei Bichara & Carlos Castillo-Chavez, 2016. "Assessing the Efficiency of Movement Restriction as a Control Strategy of Ebola," Springer Books, in: Gerardo Chowell & James M. Hyman (ed.), Mathematical and Statistical Modeling for Emerging and Re-emerging Infectious Diseases, pages 123-145, Springer.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:sprchp:978-3-319-40413-4_9
    DOI: 10.1007/978-3-319-40413-4_9
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