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Uncertainty Quantification in a Regulatory Environment

In: Handbook of Uncertainty Quantification

Author

Listed:
  • Vincent A. Mousseau

    (Sandia National Laboratories)

  • Brian J. Williams

    (Los Alamos National Laboratory, Statistical Sciences Group)

Abstract

This chapter describes the use of the Predictive Capability Maturity Model (PCMM) (Oberkampf et al., Predictive capability maturity model for computational modeling and simulation. Technical report, SAND2007-5948, Sandia National Laboratories, 2007) applied to a nuclear reactor simulation. The application and PCMM will be discussed relative to review by the Nuclear Regulatory Commission. In a regulatory environment, one takes on the role of a lawyer presenting evidence to a judge with a prosecuting attorney allowed to cross-examine. In this type of “hostile” environment, a structured process that logically presents the evidence is helpful. In addition, many simulations are now multi-scale, multi-physics, and multi-code. For this level of complexity, it is easy to get lost in the details. The PCMM method has been adapted for this multi-physics multi-code software. Since the key is to provide the regulator with confidence that the software is capable of predicting the quantity of interest (QoI) with a well-quantified uncertainty, the PCMM approach is a natural solution.

Suggested Citation

  • Vincent A. Mousseau & Brian J. Williams, 2017. "Uncertainty Quantification in a Regulatory Environment," Springer Books, in: Roger Ghanem & David Higdon & Houman Owhadi (ed.), Handbook of Uncertainty Quantification, chapter 48, pages 1613-1648, Springer.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:sprchp:978-3-319-12385-1_49
    DOI: 10.1007/978-3-319-12385-1_49
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