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Simulation Model of Evacuation Behavior Following a Large-Scale Earthquake that Takes into Account Various Attributes of Residents and Transient Occupants

In: Pedestrian and Evacuation Dynamics 2012

Author

Listed:
  • Toshihiro Osaragi

    (Tokyo Institute of Technology, Department of Mechanical and Environmental Informatics, Graduate School of Information Science and Engineering)

  • Takayuki Morisawa

    (Tokyo Institute of Technology, Department of Mechanical and Environmental Informatics, Graduate School of Information Science and Engineering)

  • Takuya Oki

    (Tokyo Institute of Technology, Department of Mechanical and Environmental Informatics, Graduate School of Information Science and Engineering)

Abstract

Understanding human behavior, such as waiting, returning home, and evacuation, after a great earthquake is very critical in establishing detailed disaster prevention planning. In the present paper, we construct a simulation model to describe how human behavior varies as a function of physical damage, such as the spread of urban fires and street blockage due to collapsed buildings. The proposed model is applied to a densely built-up area of Tokyo using a database of the spatiotemporal distribution of railroad passengers, automobile users, and pedestrians. Using the model, we attempt to demonstrate some new findings that can be applied to disaster prevention planning by examining evacuation plans and various settings in earthquake simulations.

Suggested Citation

  • Toshihiro Osaragi & Takayuki Morisawa & Takuya Oki, 2014. "Simulation Model of Evacuation Behavior Following a Large-Scale Earthquake that Takes into Account Various Attributes of Residents and Transient Occupants," Springer Books, in: Ulrich Weidmann & Uwe Kirsch & Michael Schreckenberg (ed.), Pedestrian and Evacuation Dynamics 2012, edition 127, pages 469-484, Springer.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:sprchp:978-3-319-02447-9_39
    DOI: 10.1007/978-3-319-02447-9_39
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