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Warfare Can Be Calculated

In: Mathematics and War

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  • Svend Clausen

    (Danish Defence Research Establishment)

Abstract

Combat Modelling (CM) is calculating of combat outcomes based on mathematical models. During the cold war a lot of research was spent to develop CM, but still CM can hardly be considered a scientific undertaking. CM is rather a kind of practical tool for support to military decision makers. CM may be based on different types of mathematical models, traditionally deterministic models of the Lanchester type. These models are often used without due regard to underlying assumptions, and the outcomes may differ from the “true” mean outcomes usually wanted. CM based on stochastic models, especially time continuous and state discrete Markovian processes is in principle better than deterministic models. Stochastic CM has an innate potential for determining the “true” mean outcome usually wanted, but unfortunately stochastic CM often leads to very complex models.

Suggested Citation

  • Svend Clausen, 2003. "Warfare Can Be Calculated," Springer Books, in: Bernhelm Booß-Bavnbek & Jens Høyrup (ed.), Mathematics and War, pages 216-238, Springer.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:sprchp:978-3-0348-8093-0_11
    DOI: 10.1007/978-3-0348-8093-0_11
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