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Inflation Targeting Band, the Government Debt, and Capital Formation Nexus in South Africa

In: Fiscal Policy Shocks and Macroeconomic Growth in South Africa

Author

Listed:
  • Eliphas Ndou

    (University of South Africa)

  • Nombulelo Gumata

    (Eldoreigne X3)

Abstract

This chapter explores whether the adoption of the 3 to 6 per cent inflation targeting band changed the structural relationship between government debt and capital formation in South Africa. Evidence shows that the magnitude of crowding-out effects is smaller when inflation is below 6 per cent and within 3 to 6 per cent, compared to above the 6 per cent threshold. The low inflation regime neutralises the crowding-out effects of positive government debt shocks on capital formation, whereas the high inflation regime amplifies the effects. These results imply that low inflation is needed to mitigate the crowding-out effects of capital formation by rising government debt. The policy implications of these findings are that price stability matters and that monetary policy has a role to play in minimising the size of the crowding-out effects.

Suggested Citation

  • Eliphas Ndou & Nombulelo Gumata, 2023. "Inflation Targeting Band, the Government Debt, and Capital Formation Nexus in South Africa," Springer Books, in: Fiscal Policy Shocks and Macroeconomic Growth in South Africa, chapter 0, pages 93-107, Springer.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:sprchp:978-3-031-37755-6_7
    DOI: 10.1007/978-3-031-37755-6_7
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