IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/h/spr/sprchp/978-3-030-97940-9_53.html
   My bibliography  Save this book chapter

Simulation Applications in Analyzing the Trade-Off Between Climate Change and Energy Consumption

In: Handbook of Smart Energy Systems

Author

Listed:
  • Amin Vahidi

    (Shahid Beheshti University, Facility of Mechanics and Energy)

Abstract

The United Nations estimates that 90% of the worst disasters occurred as a result of Climate Change. From an ecological point of view, Global Warming can cause far-reaching changes in the environment, biodiversity and human life. Today, scientists and experts in climatology and environmental sciences believe that one of the causes of global Climate Change in recent years has been the increase in Greenhouse Gases. Human emissions of carbon dioxide come from two main sources: burning fossil fuels and changing land use, such as deforestation. In this research System Dynamics methodology used. System Dynamics method is based on concept of feedback loops. If the loop amplify itself, it is a positive feedback or reinforcing loop. And if increasing in a variable cause itself to decrease so it is a negative or balancing feedback loop. The overall System Dynamics stock and flow model presented based on these concepts. Time horizon of this model simulation of this model is from 2020 to 2100. Simulation if current situation continues in 2050 and 2100, Global Warming will be 2.38 and 5.56 than 2020. It is catastrophic and make earth hardly habitable. Also the simulation shows in 2100 Fossil Fuel Consumption will be 2.1 times of 2020 in an exponential pattern. In 2100 vegetation decreased from 55% to 33%. So animals and plants will extinct with extremely high speed and earth will be a lifeless planet with current trend. So if Global Warming continues, it only take a decade to reach an irreversible point. If human race improve 30% in Public Awareness about Global Warming effects and Policies, Laws, Guidelines effectiveness on deforestation and forest growth, Global Warming will decrease to 41% in 2050 and 37% in 2100. So a global effort needed to save the earth and humankind.

Suggested Citation

  • Amin Vahidi, 2023. "Simulation Applications in Analyzing the Trade-Off Between Climate Change and Energy Consumption," Springer Books, in: Michel Fathi & Enrico Zio & Panos M. Pardalos (ed.), Handbook of Smart Energy Systems, pages 1509-1534, Springer.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:sprchp:978-3-030-97940-9_53
    DOI: 10.1007/978-3-030-97940-9_53
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    To our knowledge, this item is not available for download. To find whether it is available, there are three options:
    1. Check below whether another version of this item is available online.
    2. Check on the provider's web page whether it is in fact available.
    3. Perform a search for a similarly titled item that would be available.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:sprchp:978-3-030-97940-9_53. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.