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Sovereign Finance: When Economic Growth and Sovereign Debt Are a Mismatch

In: Financial Markets and Economic Performance

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  • John E. Silvia

Abstract

The imbalance between the federal debt burden and economic growth was evident in the experience of Germany in the early post-WWI period. Private sector demand for sovereign debt is a function of expectations of income, expected real returns exchange rates, and the availability of alternative financial returns. On the supply side, the supply of sovereign debt as a function of perceived policy desires and any limits that may arise from the cost of finance. Today, the three biggest holders of U.S. Treasury debt are the Fed and the central banks of China and Japan. These institutions are not motivated by maximizing profit nor do they mark to market their sovereign debt portfolios. The grand assumption that federal spending is costless has failed to hold. The ability of the sovereign to issue debt has faced limits. Two failures were for France and John Law and the United Kingdom after WWI.

Suggested Citation

  • John E. Silvia, 2021. "Sovereign Finance: When Economic Growth and Sovereign Debt Are a Mismatch," Springer Books, in: Financial Markets and Economic Performance, chapter 0, pages 403-440, Springer.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:sprchp:978-3-030-76295-7_12
    DOI: 10.1007/978-3-030-76295-7_12
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