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Forecasting Procedure Based on Full Information

In: Multilevel Strategic Interaction Game Models for Complex Networks

Author

Listed:
  • Duccio Piovani

    (nam.R, Head of Data Science)

  • Jelena Grujić

    (Artificial Intelligence Laboratory, Vrije Universiteit Brussel, Department of Computer Science, Sciences and Bioengineering Sciences
    Machine Learning Group, Université Libre de Bruxelles, Computer Science Department, Faculty of Science)

  • Henrik J. Jensen

    (Imperial College London, Department of Mathematics and Centre for Complexity Science)

Abstract

In this chapter we will look at the results obtained when trying to forecast the arrival of transitions exploiting the theory introduced in the previous section. This procedure requires full knowledge on the system, and in order to apply it one needs to know both the full structure of the network and the weights of each link. Despite being unrealistic and of difficult application, this procedure was thought as a necessary first test of the general validity of forecasting method. We will start with a general outline of the method, and then show the results of its application to the two models.

Suggested Citation

  • Duccio Piovani & Jelena Grujić & Henrik J. Jensen, 2019. "Forecasting Procedure Based on Full Information," Springer Books, in: Eitan Altman & Konstantin Avrachenkov & Francesco De Pellegrini & Rachid El-Azouzi & Huijuan Wang (ed.), Multilevel Strategic Interaction Game Models for Complex Networks, chapter 0, pages 285-298, Springer.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:sprchp:978-3-030-24455-2_15
    DOI: 10.1007/978-3-030-24455-2_15
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