IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/h/spr/sprchp/978-1-4614-5474-8_13.html
   My bibliography  Save this book chapter

Modeling Influenza Vaccination Behavior via Inductive Reasoning Games

In: Modeling the Interplay Between Human Behavior and the Spread of Infectious Diseases

Author

Listed:
  • Raffaele Vardavas

    (RAND Corporation)

  • Christopher Steven Marcum

    (RAND Corporation)

Abstract

Past experiences with seasonal influenza and immunization may affect individual decisions about whether to obtain vaccinations. Individuals continually adapt to recent influenza-related experiences, using inductive thought to reevaluate their options to obtain vaccinations. We explore this concept by constructing an individual-level model of adaptive decision-making. We couple this model with a population-level model of influenza that includes vaccination dynamics. The coupled models allow us to explore how individual-level decisions may change influenza epidemiology and, conversely, how influenza epidemiology might change individual-level decisions. By including the effects of adaptive decision-making within an epidemic model, we show that the behavioral dynamics of vaccination uptake could lead to severe influenza epidemics even without the presence of a pandemic strain. We further show that these severe epidemics might be prevented if vaccination programs provided commitment-based incentives or if mass media released epidemiological information that individuals can use to evaluate the prudence of vaccination. Finally we discuss and present some preliminary results of the model when social networks offer preferential paths for transmission.

Suggested Citation

  • Raffaele Vardavas & Christopher Steven Marcum, 2013. "Modeling Influenza Vaccination Behavior via Inductive Reasoning Games," Springer Books, in: Piero Manfredi & Alberto D'Onofrio (ed.), Modeling the Interplay Between Human Behavior and the Spread of Infectious Diseases, edition 127, pages 203-227, Springer.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:sprchp:978-1-4614-5474-8_13
    DOI: 10.1007/978-1-4614-5474-8_13
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    To our knowledge, this item is not available for download. To find whether it is available, there are three options:
    1. Check below whether another version of this item is available online.
    2. Check on the provider's web page whether it is in fact available.
    3. Perform a
    for a similarly titled item that would be available.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:sprchp:978-1-4614-5474-8_13. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.