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Model Selection in Parapsychology: Psychokinesis, Precognition or Chance?

In: Modelling and Prediction Honoring Seymour Geisser

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  • Jessica Utts

    (University of California Davis, Division of Statistics)

Abstract

This paper discusses three models that have been put forward to fit data from a particular type of experiment attempting to test psychic functioning. The experiments were actually designed to test what has been called “micro-psychokinesis,” in which participants tried to influence the output of a true random number generator. One of the three models tested is that the participants were capable of such influence, one is that the results were consistent with chance, and one is that the participants were able to anticipate when favorable sequences were about to occur and to start collecting data at that time. Data from over one hundred experiments appear to support this last model.

Suggested Citation

  • Jessica Utts, 1996. "Model Selection in Parapsychology: Psychokinesis, Precognition or Chance?," Springer Books, in: Jack C. Lee & Wesley O. Johnson & Arnold Zellner (ed.), Modelling and Prediction Honoring Seymour Geisser, pages 315-322, Springer.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:sprchp:978-1-4612-2414-3_20
    DOI: 10.1007/978-1-4612-2414-3_20
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