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Effectiveness of Investments in Prevention of Geological Disasters

In: Dynamics of Disasters

Author

Listed:
  • Ugo Fiore

    (Parthenope University)

  • Zelda Marino

    (Parthenope University)

  • Francesca Perla

    (Parthenope University)

  • Mariafortuna Pietroluongo

    (Parthenope University)

  • Salvatore Scognamiglio

    (Parthenope University)

  • and Paolo Zanetti

    (Parthenope University)

Abstract

Research on geological disasters has made several achievements in monitoring, early warning, and risk assessment. Substantial resources are being invested in prevention projects, but, due to geographical and demographical complexity, incompleteness of data, and small number of samples, a quantitative analysis on the number of geological disasters and the entity of investments in their prevention is a difficult problem. In this work, the relation is studied between the amount of resources invested in prevention and the number of geological disasters in subsequent years. The analysis is performed on historical data, using statistical methods and a LSTM recurrent neural network.

Suggested Citation

  • Ugo Fiore & Zelda Marino & Francesca Perla & Mariafortuna Pietroluongo & Salvatore Scognamiglio & and Paolo Zanetti, 2021. "Effectiveness of Investments in Prevention of Geological Disasters," Springer Optimization and Its Applications, in: Ilias S. Kotsireas & Anna Nagurney & Panos M. Pardalos & Arsenios Tsokas (ed.), Dynamics of Disasters, pages 101-108, Springer.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:spochp:978-3-030-64973-9_6
    DOI: 10.1007/978-3-030-64973-9_6
    as

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