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Reliability Analysis

In: Aerospace System Analysis and Optimization in Uncertainty

Author

Listed:
  • Jérôme Morio

    (2, Avenue Edouard Belin- BP 74025)

  • Loïc Brevault

    (Chemin de la Hunière BP 80100)

  • Mathieu Balesdent

    (Chemin de la Hunière BP 80100)

Abstract

Assessing the reliability of a complex system with uncertainty propagation consists in estimating its probability of failure. Common sampling strategies for such tasks are notably based on Monte Carlo sampling. This kind of methods is well suited to characterize events of which associated probabilities are not too low with respect to the simulation budget. However, for critical systems such as aerospace vehicles, the reliability specifications often induce very low probability of failures (said below 10−4). In this case, Monte Carlo based methods are not efficient inducing unaffordable costs with regard to the available simulation budget. In this chapter, we review the main simulation techniques to estimate low failure probabilities with accuracy.

Suggested Citation

  • Jérôme Morio & Loïc Brevault & Mathieu Balesdent, 2020. "Reliability Analysis," Springer Optimization and Its Applications, in: Aerospace System Analysis and Optimization in Uncertainty, chapter 0, pages 119-146, Springer.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:spochp:978-3-030-39126-3_4
    DOI: 10.1007/978-3-030-39126-3_4
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