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Markov Chains in Modelling of the Russian Financial Market

In: Financial Decision Making Using Computational Intelligence

Author

Listed:
  • Grigory A. Bautin

    (National Research University Higher School of Economics, Lab LATNA)

  • Valery A. Kalyagin

    (National Research University Higher School of Economics, Lab LATNA)

Abstract

We use Markov chains models for the analysis of Russian stock market. First problem studied in the chapter is concerned with multiperiod portfolio optimization. We show that known approaches applied for the Russian stock market produce the phenomena of nonstability and propose a new method in order to smooth it. The second problem concerns the structural changes in the Russian stock market after the financial crisis of 2008. We propose a hidden Markov chain model to analyze structural changes and apply it to the Russian stock market.

Suggested Citation

  • Grigory A. Bautin & Valery A. Kalyagin, 2012. "Markov Chains in Modelling of the Russian Financial Market," Springer Optimization and Its Applications, in: Michael Doumpos & Constantin Zopounidis & Panos M. Pardalos (ed.), Financial Decision Making Using Computational Intelligence, edition 127, chapter 0, pages 233-251, Springer.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:spochp:978-1-4614-3773-4_9
    DOI: 10.1007/978-1-4614-3773-4_9
    as

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