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Aggression in Mixed Martial Arts: An Analysis of the Likelihood of Winning a Decision

In: Violence and Aggression in Sporting Contests

Author

Listed:
  • Trevor Collier

    (University of Dayton)

  • Andrew L. Johnson

    (Texas A&M University)

  • John Ruggiero

    (University of Dayton)

Abstract

Within the last decade, mixed martial arts has become one of the most popular sports worldwide. The Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) is the largest and most successful organization within the industry. In the USA, however, the sport is not sanctioned in all states because some politicians view the sport as too violent. The sport consists of many fighting forms and, unlike boxing, winning a decision requires judging in multiple facets including wrestling, boxing, kick boxing, and jiu-jitsu. In this study, we estimate the likelihood of winning a decision in the UFC. Using data on individual fights, we estimate the probability of winning based on fighter characteristics. We emphasize power strikes as it relates to aggression to determine the likelihood of winning. Our results indicate that knockdowns and damage inflicted are all statistically significant determinants of winning a fight and have the largest marginal effect of influencing judge’s decisions.

Suggested Citation

  • Trevor Collier & Andrew L. Johnson & John Ruggiero, 2011. "Aggression in Mixed Martial Arts: An Analysis of the Likelihood of Winning a Decision," Sports Economics, Management, and Policy, in: R. Todd Jewell (ed.), Violence and Aggression in Sporting Contests, edition 1, chapter 0, pages 97-109, Springer.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:semchp:978-1-4419-6630-8_7
    DOI: 10.1007/978-1-4419-6630-8_7
    as

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