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Artificial Intelligence and Daily Return Forecasts

In: Operations Research Proceedings 2023

Author

Listed:
  • Theo Berger

    (University of Applied Sciences Harz
    University of Bremen)

Abstract

This study provides an assessment of machine learning applied to the field of univariate financial time series analysis. Drawing on widely accepted ARIMA models, competing machine learning approaches are compared and various training scenarios and network architectures are discussed to identify the optimal network approach for daily return series forecasts. As a result of this exercise, plain vanilla recurrent neural networks with one layer describe a sensible choice.

Suggested Citation

  • Theo Berger, 2025. "Artificial Intelligence and Daily Return Forecasts," Lecture Notes in Operations Research, in: Guido Voigt & Malte Fliedner & Knut Haase & Wolfgang Brüggemann & Kai Hoberg & Joern Meissner (ed.), Operations Research Proceedings 2023, chapter 0, pages 155-160, Springer.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:lnopch:978-3-031-58405-3_20
    DOI: 10.1007/978-3-031-58405-3_20
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