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Sustainable Agriculture in China: Estimation and Reduction of Nitrogen Impacts

In: Managing Safety of Heterogeneous Systems

Author

Listed:
  • Günther Fischer

    (International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis)

  • Wilfried Winiwarter

    (International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis
    AIT Austrian Institute of Technology)

  • Tatiana Ermolieva

    (International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis)

  • Gui-Ying Cao

    (International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis)

  • Harrij Velthuizen

    (International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis)

  • Zbigniew Klimont

    (International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis)

  • Wolfgang Schoepp

    (International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis)

  • Wim Veen

    (Vrije Universiteit)

  • David Wiberg

    (International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis)

  • Fabian Wagner

    (International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis)

Abstract

In this chapter we present an integrated model for long term and geographically explicit planning of agricultural activities to meet demands under resource constraints and ambient targets. Environmental, resource and production feasibility indicators permit estimating impacts of agricultural practices on environment to guide agricultural policies regarding production allocation, intensification, and fertilizer application while accounting for local constraints. Physical production potentials of land are incorporated in the model, together with demographic and socio-economic variables and behavioral drivers to reflect spatial distribution of demands and production intensification levels. The application of the model is demonstrated with a case study of nitrogen accounting at the level of China counties. We discuss current intensification trends and estimate the ranges of agricultural impacts on China’s environment under plausible pollution mitigation scenarios with a particular focus on nitrogen sources and losses.

Suggested Citation

  • Günther Fischer & Wilfried Winiwarter & Tatiana Ermolieva & Gui-Ying Cao & Harrij Velthuizen & Zbigniew Klimont & Wolfgang Schoepp & Wim Veen & David Wiberg & Fabian Wagner, 2012. "Sustainable Agriculture in China: Estimation and Reduction of Nitrogen Impacts," Lecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical Systems, in: Yuri Ermoliev & Marek Makowski & Kurt Marti (ed.), Managing Safety of Heterogeneous Systems, edition 127, pages 327-350, Springer.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:lnechp:978-3-642-22884-1_16
    DOI: 10.1007/978-3-642-22884-1_16
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