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Smart Grid Stability Analysis with Interpretable Machine Learning and Deep Learning Models

Author

Listed:
  • Shamanta Sharmi Sristy

    (Hajee Mohammad Danesh Science and Technology University)

  • Iftekharul Islam

    (Hajee Mohammad Danesh Science and Technology University)

  • Mahmudul Hasan

    (Deakin University
    Hajee Mohammad Danesh Science and Technology University)

  • Md. Motiur Rahman Tareq

    (Hajee Mohammad Danesh Science and Technology University)

  • Kanij Fatema

    (Hajee Mohammad Danesh Science and Technology University
    Hajee Mohammad Danesh Science and Technology University)

Abstract

Ensuring the stability of modern power grids is paramount to achieving sustainable energy systems, particularly as renewable energy sources become more integrated. This study focuses on predicting smart grid stability using machine learning (ML), deep learning (DL) algorithms, and Explainable AI (XAI) methods to ensure model interpretability. Among the ML models, SVM outperformed others with an accuracy of 97.8%, while Multilayer Perceptron achieved the highest accuracy of 97.7% among DL models. Explainable AI techniques, particularly SHAP was employed to interpret model predictions, revealing key factors such power load (g3) and reaction times (tau1) significantly influence grid stability. Our approach ensures the grid’s stability by addressing fluctuations and system imbalances in real time. The study’s findings offer practical guidance for enhancing power grid performance, which advances the more general objectives of energy resilience and efficiency in the incorporation of renewable energy sources.

Suggested Citation

  • Shamanta Sharmi Sristy & Iftekharul Islam & Mahmudul Hasan & Md. Motiur Rahman Tareq & Kanij Fatema, 2025. "Smart Grid Stability Analysis with Interpretable Machine Learning and Deep Learning Models," International Series in Operations Research & Management Science,, Springer.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:isochp:978-3-031-95099-5_13
    DOI: 10.1007/978-3-031-95099-5_13
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