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Commodity Markets: Machine Learning Techniques

In: Machine Learning and Artificial Intelligence for Agricultural Economics

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  • Chandrasekar Vuppalapati

    (San Jose State University)

Abstract

In this chapter, machine learning techniques are introduced to perform historical commodity analysis to derive leading economic macro and micro indicators that would provide a comprehensive market view to small farmers. As part of the chapter, demand and supply framework is introduced. Next, commodity stocks to use ratio indictor are introduced and the impact of stocks to use ratio on the pricing model developed. Time series techniques are introduced to validate trend, seasonality, and stationarity of the time series. Next, the time series feature causation and correlation models and vector autoregression (VAR) are introduced. Finally, the chapter presents two time series-based use cases: predicting gold commodity prices and worldwide study of fertilizer price predict.

Suggested Citation

  • Chandrasekar Vuppalapati, 2021. "Commodity Markets: Machine Learning Techniques," International Series in Operations Research & Management Science, in: Machine Learning and Artificial Intelligence for Agricultural Economics, chapter 0, pages 219-327, Springer.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:isochp:978-3-030-77485-1_4
    DOI: 10.1007/978-3-030-77485-1_4
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