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System Models for Policy Analysis

In: Public Policy Analysis

Author

Listed:
  • Warren E. Walker

    (Delft University of Technology)

  • C. Els Daalen

    (Delft University of Technology)

Abstract

Although quantitative system models are only one of many tools of a policy analyst, they are an important tool. For the policy analyst, the purpose of building and using models is to estimate things that cannot be observed or measured directly. The prime example is impact assessment—estimating the outcomes of a policy that a decisionmaker may consider adopting. Other uses are diagnosis (estimating what factors have the greatest leverage to change a specified outcome or what is the primary source of a given outcome) and forecasting (estimating how a variable is likely to evolve in the future, usually assuming “present trends”). They also may be used as learning tools (to gain an understanding of how the system works, or may work in the future).

Suggested Citation

  • Warren E. Walker & C. Els Daalen, 2013. "System Models for Policy Analysis," International Series in Operations Research & Management Science, in: Wil A. H. Thissen & Warren E. Walker (ed.), Public Policy Analysis, edition 127, chapter 0, pages 157-184, Springer.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:isochp:978-1-4614-4602-6_7
    DOI: 10.1007/978-1-4614-4602-6_7
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    Cited by:

    1. Warren E. Walker & Marjolijn Haasnoot & Jan H. Kwakkel, 2013. "Adapt or Perish: A Review of Planning Approaches for Adaptation under Deep Uncertainty," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 5(3), pages 1-25, March.

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