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Risk management

In: Decision Making Under Uncertainty in Electricity Markets

Author

Listed:
  • Antonio J. Conejo

    (University of Castilla – La Mancha)

  • Miguel Carrión

    (University of Castilla – La Mancha)

  • Juan M. Morales

    (University of Castilla – La Mancha)

Abstract

In Chapter 2 we study the basic formulation of decision-making problems using stochastic programming. In these problems we consider that the objective of the decision-making agents is either maximizing profit (e.g., the financial profit of an electricity producer) or minimizing cost (e.g., the electricity procurement cost of an industrial consumer). In stochastic programming, where uncertain data are modeled as stochastic processes, the profit or cost is a random variable that can be characterized by a probability distribution. In an optimization problem involving a random objective function it is necessary to optimize a function characterizing the distribution of this random variable, for instance, its expected value. This is the criterion that is generally used in stochastic programming problems. Therefore, the problem consisting in maximizing “the profit” obtained by a decision-making agent results in maximizing the expected profit achieved by this agent.

Suggested Citation

  • Antonio J. Conejo & Miguel Carrión & Juan M. Morales, 2010. "Risk management," International Series in Operations Research & Management Science, in: Decision Making Under Uncertainty in Electricity Markets, chapter 0, pages 121-156, Springer.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:isochp:978-1-4419-7421-1_4
    DOI: 10.1007/978-1-4419-7421-1_4
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